God, Probability, and Life after Death by William Hunt

Author:William Hunt [Hunt, William]
Language: eng
Format: epub
Publisher: Lexington Books
Published: 2017-10-24T00:00:00+00:00

Evaluators’ Conclusion

The arguments are indicative of an impasse; the theist giving support to a divine cause for uncanny experience and the atheist a natural cause; that is, the same evidence equally confirms different hypotheses. This is a problem if uncanny experiences are intended to give probabilistic support for the proposition God exists.

The agnostic is liable to be agnostic on the matter and therefore track the atheist’s position; that is, cases of uncanny experience are just as liable to emerge whether God exists or not. The only argument that may sway all parties to a theistic explanation is that of dramatic conversion experiences (DCE). Given that uncanny experience is being approached as evidence in support of the theistic proposition, then the evidence for consideration should be DCE. Even then, the evaluators do not think that a complete consensus would be reached on consideration of DCE. It is thought that the agnostic would give some, if limited support for the DCE argument and possibly persuade the atheist to form a consensus with them on a low, yet confirmatory λ-value.

Evaluators’ Judgement

Let e be DCE (dramatic conversion experience)

Atheist’s view: Pr(e|p & k) is greater than Pr(e|¬p & k)

Agnostic’s view: Pr(e|p & k) is greater than Pr(e|¬p & k)

Theist’s view: Pr(e|p & k) is much greater than Pr(e|¬p & k)

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